a public research recordlast updated 11 September 2026
Papers
Twelve preprints, seven of the first ten negative results.
A preprint is a paper posted publicly before peer review, so the reasoning can be checked by anyone rather than only by two anonymous reviewers. None of these has been reviewed. Treat every claim as provisional.
Seven of the ten copies here differ from the record at their identifier, and each says so at the top of its own card. Six were corrected after deposit because the deposited version is wrong. The identifier stays the thing to cite, because it is the fixed public record, and this site serves the corrected text because serving something known to be wrong without saying so is worse. No conclusion in any paper changed, all thirteen records are now at version 3, deposited 13 August 2026.
01
Folding stability prediction misses three of four known loss of function variants in the SCN5A N terminal domain
The method I had been relying on only works when the cause is a buried charge. Given four variants already known to break this channel, it caught one.
Caught
1 of 4
Sensitive to
buried charge only
Verdict
route closed
Closed the folding corrector route, which is the one I most wanted to work.
This copy differs from the record at its identifier. Corrected 6 Aug 2026, no conclusion changed.
02
Editability scored off target counting, and the specificity cost of relaxing the docking rule
Counting the places a base editor might act by mistake, by asking whether it could actually edit there rather than whether the sequence merely looks similar, removes most of the apparent risk. It also shows the naive method is biased toward recommending the worse of two editors.
Risk removed
85.1%
Guides clean in absolute terms
none
Verdict
method stands
Underpins the base editing route. The method is constructive; the finding that no guide here is clean is not.
Deposited functional evidence in ClinVar is searchable only by exact term, and no surveyed tool reads it
Laboratories deposit real measurements of what variants do into the public database. Most of the tools that interpret variants already have the full record on disk and never look at the field. The evidence is public and effectively invisible.
Tools surveyed
12
With a determinable route
11
That read the field
none
The one result on this site that has nothing to do with my variant. The census page sets out its size.
This copy differs from the record at its identifier. Figures recomputed 6 Aug 2026, and every corrected value is worse for the therapy.
04
No antisense oligonucleotide has demonstrated target engagement in a human cardiomyocyte
Every design I tested for editing the message rather than the gene either changed neighbouring letters it should not have, or bound in too many other places. Separately, no molecule of this class has been shown to reach a human heart muscle cell at all.
This copy differs from the record at its identifier. Corrected 6 Aug 2026, no conclusion changed.
05
The Conflicting classification of SCN5A p.Arg104Gln rests on one outdated submission, not on divided evidence
My variant is labelled Conflicting in the public database, which reads as genuine disagreement between laboratories. It is not. Across every available assay it behaves the same as its neighbour, which is classified pathogenic.
Submissions behind the label
1, stale
Assays where it differs from its neighbour
none
Verdict
review warranted
An argument that the evidence should be reviewed. Only the submitting laboratories and the expert panel can change a classification.
This copy differs from the record at its identifier. Figures recomputed 6 Aug 2026, and the negative result is strengthened rather than weakened.
06
SCN5A lacks the non productive mRNA reserve that antisense upregulation therapy would need in human heart
A therapy that boosts output from the healthy copy needs a reserve of wasted message to redirect. Across 827 heart samples that reserve is about 300 times smaller than in the brain, where the approach already works in children.
Reserve found
0.0045%
Reserve needed
~25%
Verdict
route closed
Closed the upregulation route. It killed one method, not a level.
This copy differs from the record at its identifier. Corrected 6 Aug 2026, no conclusion changed.
07
Peak current alone cannot separate trafficking arrest from coupled gating in SCN5A dominant negative variants
The standard assay cannot tell apart two different ways a broken copy interferes with a healthy one, because the two explanations are algebraically degenerate: they predict the same number. Measuring harder with the same method cannot help.
Explanations
2
Currents they predict
identical
Verdict
new assay needed
Names the experiment that would settle the open question, which is costed in full.
This copy is ahead of the deposited version. A paper published after the deposit was folded in on 6 Aug 2026.
08
Neither local strain nor exposed hydrophobic surface explains pathogenicity at SCN5A Arg104
Two candidate explanations for why this position matters were tested and eliminated. What survives is that this residue anchors a buried acidic pocket unchanged across species. The paper also corrects several of my own earlier claims about the geometry.
Explanations tested
2
Eliminated
2
Verdict
one survives
Eliminates two explanations for the mechanism, and retires one I had published myself.
A stability predictor with known blind spots nominates seventeen uncertain SCN5A N terminal variants for testing
Of 131 variants of uncertain significance in this region, 17 score above a measured noise floor and are worth testing. The other 114 are uninformative, which is not the same as benign, and that matters to anyone carrying one.
Scanned
131
Above the noise floor
17
Uninformative
114
A usable shortlist, built on top of the measured blind spot that makes a negative score meaningless.
A large scale functional scan of this gene does exist, and has been under construction for about nine years. It now covers roughly 45 percent of the protein, concentrated on the pore-forming regions of the four transmembrane domains, and its author confirms that it does not cover the domain this shortlist addresses (personal communication, 13 August 2026). So the region here is not merely unmeasured. It is the region the field's largest functional effort has left uncovered, because that effort went to the pore. The blind spot below is unchanged by this, and the 114 uninformative scores still mean nothing at all.
This copy differs from the record at its identifier. Corrected 6 Aug 2026, no conclusion changed.
10
Residue centroid distance misses close atom contacts in the SCN5A N terminal domain
Models that measure distance between the centres of residues miss about 9 percent of real atomic contacts, and disproportionately the long side chain and salt bridge ones.
Atom to atom
3.79 Å
Centre to centre
9.22 Å
Verdict
model corrected
A methods correction to a published penetrance model, which cannot see the contact at my own position at all.
Seven of these report that something did not work. One closed the route this project had spent months on and most wanted to succeed. Another found that a prediction method I had been relying on identified one of the four cases it should have caught, which means a reassuring score from it carries no information at all in this part of the gene. A record that reports only what worked is not a record, it is a selection. The negatives are the reason to trust the rest.
The eleventh and twelfth papers are now deposited
Both were deposited to Zenodo on 7 August 2026 (10.5281/zenodo.21840577 and 10.5281/zenodo.21840579) as distinct records. All thirteen records were brought to Version 3 on 13 August 2026. A list of ten that does not mention the eleventh and twelfth is the same kind of omission this project documents.
Citing this work
Every paper is sole authored by Ethan Bradley, ORCID 0009-0008-8925-7975. Cite the identifier printed beside each one. Those are version identifiers, and the version identifier is the one to use. If a number here disagrees with the same number at the identifier, the copy here is the corrected one. Posting to bioRxiv and medRxiv is pending an account login that has not been completed, so those submissions are marked pending rather than described as done.
If you find an error in any of them, I would rather hear it than not: ethan@brugada.net.